This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences issues a formal retraction for Dan Ariely’s 2012 paper “Signing at the beginning makes ethics salient and decreases dishonest self-reports in comparison to signing at the end”, https://www.pnas.org/content/109/38/15197.short, on or before October 1, 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET. This retraction may be initiated by either PNAS or the original authors of the article. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: corrections and partial retractions will also resolve to “No.” Only a full retraction of the article will count. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, see here for a list of retractions https://www.pnas.org/retractions. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).