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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pope Francis (born Jorge Mario Bergoglio) remains the Pope without interruption from December 25, 2023 through June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Vatican (ex: https://www.vatican.va/content/vatican/en.html, https://twitter.com/Pontifex, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.