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Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on whether President Biden will say “Trump” during his August 24 speech, scheduled to take place at 4:30 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and any following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says “Trump” during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” References to Trump will not count - only the word “Trump” will be considered. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.