Polymarket · OtherClosed
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
In Response to Trader Inquiry: The word "predecessors" will not count. Only "Trump" and "predecessor" will count, per market rules. This is a market on whether President Biden will say “Trump” or "predecessor" during his September 9 speech, scheduled to take place at 5:00 PM ET. This market concerns the speech and any following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says “Trump” or "predecessor" during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video and other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.