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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 840d | anonim | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,176 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 841d | ASOEMFE7 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $43,423 | +$23,316 +54% | 10 |
| 841d |  gopfan6 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $15,761 | +$3,968 +25% | 10 |
| 841d |  TheGuru-791 | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$225 +18% | 10 |
| 841d | ASOFE | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | −$300 −18% | — |
| 841d | roaringlion-0026 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $13,601 | +$5,304 +39% | 10 |
| 841d | electiontrader23515 | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,166 | +$324 +15% | 10 |
| 841d |  mcduck2 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,937 | +$560 +14% | 10 |
| 841d | poptree2 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $9,684 | −$1,328 −14% | — |
| 841d | ASOEMFE4 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $24,632 | −$7,450 −30% | — |
| 841d | goingsocial5 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $15,568 | +$17,742 +114% | 12 |
| 841d | poptree3 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $9,610 | +$2,390 +25% | 10 |
| 841d |  Marx.Carney | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$226 +20% | 10 |
| 841d |  redbloodzcell3 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $5,010 | +$3,234 +65% | 10 |
| 841d | TheGuru-7912 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $2,306 | −$2,306 −100% | 14 |
| 841d | ASOFE3 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $5,277 | +$2,436 +46% | 10 |
| 841d | mcduck2 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | SellNo62¢ → 100¢ | $3,896 | −$2,390 −61% | — |
| 841d | Divina-Intuitio4 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $9,290 | −$9,290 −100% | 12 |
| 841d | electiontrader235157 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $10,115 | −$10,115 −100% | 11 |
| 841d | TheGuru-791 | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $3,925 | −$2,621 −67% | — |
| 841d | redbloodzcell | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 10 |
| 841d | lolerson2 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $3,656 | −$3,656 −100% | 10 |
| 841d | zZQ8xU4Btx | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $2,443 | −$2,443 −100% | 10 |
| 841d | randomtrader1 | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 10 |
| 841d | ASOEMFE | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | SellYes69¢ → 0¢ | $2,058 | +$2,058 +100% | — |
| 841d | Kapii | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,283 | −$1,283 −100% | 10 |
| 841d | IAmSmarterThanYou | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,170 | −$1,170 −100% | 10 |
| 841d | Donk-513 | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $3,850 | −$3,850 −100% | 10 |
| 841d | ASOEMFE | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,488 | −$1,488 −100% | 10 |
| 841d | mcduck | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $7,995 | −$7,995 −100% | 10 |
| 841d | roaringlion-002 | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $2,105 | −$2,105 −100% | 10 |
| 842d | roaringlion-002 | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | SellNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,763 | −$1,274 −72% | — |
| 842d | 0xRyan | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$788 +61% | 10 |
| 843d | Test775 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $12,265 | −$12,265 −100% | 14 |
| 844d | singa-585 | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | SellYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,039 | +$1,039 +100% | — |
| 852d |  JJo | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,439 | +$920 +64% | 10 |
| 857d |  New.Jeans2 fills | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | +$1,294 +43% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reform UK controls 7 or more seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the next UK General Election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Reform UK , not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.