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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 791d | jl3128776 | Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,708 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 791d |  Marx.Carney | Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 791d |  SonOnTheRun | Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,157 | −$32 −1.0% | — |
| 791d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a | Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,934 | +$30 +1.0% | 4 |
| 791d | JonJonesMMA | Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$42 +1.4% | 4 |
| 791d | DarkZuckerberg - 283872 fills | Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,795 | +$516 +18% | 4 |
| 792d | anon15654 fills | Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $11,189 | +$912 +8.2% | 4 |
| 792d |  XiJinPing-478 | Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,848 | +$161 +8.7% | 4 |
| 792d |  Kickstand7 | Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally? | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $4,665 | +$1,905 +41% | 4 |
| 792d | SonOnTheRun | Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally? | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,264 | +$925 +41% | 4 |
| 792d | Cbarbhwux | Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,572 | +$328 +21% | 4 |
| 792d | ootharju | Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $5,612 | +$1,232 +22% | 4 |
| 792d | Yeueu2 fills | Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,899 | +$962 +25% | 4 |
On Aug 22 it was announced that there would be a special guest in attendance at Trump's rally in Glendale Arizona, scheduled to occur at 4 PM on August 23 (see https://x.com/AFpost/status/1826759435727130871). This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. is the special guest that attends Trump's rally. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.