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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 28 | 100% | −2 pts | +81 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| November 14 | 0% | 0 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 21 | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 15 | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | Extravaganza123 | February 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $18,204 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 238d |  OraculumNobius3 fills | February 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,309 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 238d |  DiamondHands112 fills | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,188 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 238d |  ggmggn2 fills | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,931 | +$34 +0.3% | 4 |
| 238d | DiamondHands11 | February 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,610 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 238d | makeadream | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,094 | −$24 −0.4% | — |
| 238d | yougotme | February 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,082 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 238d | 12100K | February 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,074 | −$32 −0.4% | — |
| 238d |  ashton4 | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,801 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 238d | 0xe72b…3c9c2 fills | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,672 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 238d | ggmggn | February 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,435 | +$21 +0.2% | 4 |
| 238d |  JewRizzler | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,241 | +$13 +0.3% | 4 |
| 238d |  PicklePredictor2 fills | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,159 | +$14 +0.4% | 4 |
| 238d | PicklePredictor | February 28 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,272 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 238d |  tsybka3 fills | February 28 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $14,168 | +$2,305 +16% | 4 |
| 239d |  TralaleloTralalala | March 31 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,144 | −$60 −2.8% | — |
| 239d | makeadream | February 28 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | −$76 −4.0% | — |
| 239d | makeadream2 fills | March 31 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $5,034 | +$704 +14% | 4 |
| 239d | whopperlover | March 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,873 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 239d | mkukrigreaga2 fills | March 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,322 | −$20 −0.9% | — |
| 239d |  gghtx3 fills | February 28 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,884 | −$120 −1.5% | — |
| 239d | Huludubu3 fills | February 28 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $13,547 | +$1,220 +9.0% | 4 |
| 239d | makeadream | February 28 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,829 | +$76 +2.7% | 4 |
| 239d |  SakuraDevil | February 28 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$19 +1.7% | 4 |
| 239d | Extravaganza1232 fills | February 28 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,576 | +$130 +2.0% | 4 |
| 240d | JoeBlack012 fills | March 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,967 | −$33 −0.8% | — |
| 240d |  fakwar | February 28 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | −$23 −2.3% | — |
| 240d | 12100K | February 28 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,058 | +$50 +1.6% | 4 |
| 240d | 12100K | March 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$9 +0.6% | 4 |
| 240d | Huludubu | March 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 240d |  shiepapito | February 28 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 240d | shiepapito | March 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$26 +2.0% | 4 |
| 240d | JoeBlack01 | March 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$30 +2.0% | 4 |
| 240d | gghtx2 fills | February 28 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $16,629 | +$2,679 +16% | 4 |
| 240d | tsybka | March 31 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $6,514 | +$566 +8.7% | 4 |
| 240d | bolla-577 | March 31 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,708 | +$1,046 +28% | 4 |
| 240d | 0x42d5…8e7e | February 28 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$332 +8.7% | 4 |
| 240d |  telum | February 28 | BuyYes19¢ → 100¢ | $2,176 | +$9,551 +439% | 9 |
| 240d | telum | March 31 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $5,335 | +$3,243 +61% | 4 |
| 240d | Coordinated-Leather2 fills | February 28 | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $2,329 | −$2,329 −100% | 4 |
| 241d | zerionig | February 28 | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,051 | −$1,051 −100% | 4 |
| 241d | mkukrigreaga | March 31 | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | +$926 +65% | 4 |
| 242d | lionkinglionkinglionking | March 31 | SellNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,090 | +$1,090 +100% | — |
| 242d |  Fireswords | February 28 | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $2,004 | −$2,004 −100% | 4 |
| 243d | grgerg | March 31 | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | −$1,133 −66% | — |
| 243d | Misterjumpedintothelastcarriage | March 31 | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 7 |
| 243d | discombobulated-chicken | February 28 | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $1,290 | −$1,290 −100% | 4 |
| 243d | 0x58fe…dc22 | March 31 | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,141 | −$1,141 −100% | 4 |
| 244d | elPolloLoco | March 31 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,229 | +$1,140 +35% | 4 |
| 244d | gghtx | March 31 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,260 | +$879 +39% | 4 |
| 245d | Huludubu | March 31 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,564 | +$1,546 +43% | 4 |
| 245d | AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA | March 31 | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $4,595 | −$2,490 −54% | — |
| 246d | Busy-Consensus | March 31 | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | −$624 −49% | — |
| 247d | AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA | March 31 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$359 +36% | 4 |
| 248d | 123erty | March 31 | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | −$527 −48% | — |
| 248d | Azrarn5 fills | March 31 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $14,183 | +$6,134 +43% | 4 |
| 249d |  DumplingBMF | March 31 | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,551 | −$704 −45% | — |
| 249d | IjustResearch2 | February 28 | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $1,084 | −$1,084 −100% | 4 |
| 250d | DumplingBMF | March 31 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$696 +57% | 4 |
| 250d | Scottp1887 | March 31 | SellNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,522 | +$1,522 +100% | — |
Audrey.d40,512 shares
63fad15,000 shares
dimi6oni67 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Pokrovsk by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Pokrovsk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If the territory of municipality is shade light grey, and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Rih" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Once Russia captures the Pokrovsk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ixAs4fF8n8ccVeL17 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 0%.