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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 754d | ahahahah3 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,184 | −$176 −2.8% | — |
| 755d | KingPinguin | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,021 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 756d | SlavaUkraini3 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,813 | +$373 +4.2% | 4 |
| 773d |  HaterzLoserz | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,187 | −$323 −10% | — |
| 774d | KingPinguin | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$53 +5.3% | 4 |
| 777d | HaterzLoserz | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $7,970 | +$1,993 +25% | 4 |
| 779d |  gopfan24 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $12,552 | +$4,296 +34% | 4 |
| 781d | ahahahah2 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $4,564 | +$1,396 +31% | 4 |
| 781d | Straight-Split | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,047 | +$646 +32% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Chasiv Yar railroad station located on Pryvokazlna Vulytsia by September 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Chasiv+Yar+Train+Station.png Chasiv Yar Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Chasiv+Yar+Ukraine+Location.png The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.