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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 661d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,604 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 661d | cezarn132 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,171 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 662d | perfectlypredictingthepast2 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,220 | −$115 −0.9% | — |
| 662d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 663d | Carpfisher2 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,600 | −$307 −3.2% | — |
| 664d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,792 | −$13 −0.7% | — | |
| 664d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | −$8 −0.8% | — | |
| 666d | Wyrdylak4 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,186 | −$548 −5.4% | — |
| 666d | HanSolo24 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,213 | −$81 −1.3% | — |
| 666d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,892 | −$19 −1.0% | — | |
| 669d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | −$23 −2.1% | — | |
| 669d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,793 | +$159 +1.6% | 4 | |
| 669d | Olololo5 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $18,578 | +$2,302 +12% | 4 |
| 671d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,082 | −$402 −4.4% | — | |
| 672d | Dar1us | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$54 +2.7% | 4 |
| 672d | oof | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,785 | +$87 +3.1% | 4 |
| 672d | amused85 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,106 | −$128 −4.1% | — |
| 673d | Azrarn5 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $22,845 | +$1,938 +8.5% | 4 |
| 673d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,162 | −$114 −5.3% | — | |
| 673d | GrayCat4 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,877 | +$270 +5.5% | 4 |
| 673d | perfectlypredictingthepast | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $13,789 | +$753 +5.5% | 4 |
| 674d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $9,631 | +$1,066 +11% | 4 | |
| 674d | kirillostrovski | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$134 +6.7% | 4 |
| 675d | amused858 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $14,141 | +$2,878 +20% | 4 |
| 675d | puntersthompson | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 6 |
| 675d | 0x2370…0e10 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,486 | −$114 −4.6% | — |
| 676d | HanSolo24 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$252 +4.2% | 4 |
| 677d | nedsta2 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,785 | −$253 −4.4% | — |
| 678d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,780 | +$567 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 678d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,089 | +$197 +6.4% | 4 | |
| 679d | oof | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellYes6¢ → 0¢ | $1,201 | +$1,201 +100% | — |
| 679d | Wyrdylak2 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $5,098 | +$1,221 +24% | 4 |
| 679d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,142 | −$1,142 −100% | 5 | |
| 679d | bigdickxijinping | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,311 | −$1,311 −100% | 6 |
| 680d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,608 | +$121 +7.5% | 4 | |
| 680d | 284 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,877 | +$141 +7.5% | 4 |
| 680d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$105 +7.5% | 4 | |
| 680d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,205 | +$279 +8.7% | 4 | |
| 681d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,824 | +$333 +8.7% | 4 | |
| 681d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | −$125 −9.9% | — | |
| 682d | Crock95 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,446 | −$258 −7.5% | — |
| 682d | MikeMoore | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$531 +5.3% | 4 |
| 683d | keribit | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | −$160 −8.7% | — |
| 684d | nedsta5 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $39,957 | +$2,154 +5.4% | 4 |
| 685d | Moist-Locust | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,878 | −$415 −5.3% | — |
| 688d | Limantas4 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $10,138 | −$1,111 −11% | — |
| 688d | keribit2 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$167 +4.2% | 4 |
| 688d | Moist-Locust | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,961 | +$332 +4.2% | 4 |
| 689d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | −$88 −6.4% | — | |
| 690d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$83 +4.2% | 4 | |
| 691d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | −$102 −6.4% | — | |
| 695d | HotPot-960 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,193 | +$316 +9.9% | 4 |
| 695d | SilverLife | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,640 | +$360 +9.9% | 4 |
| 695d | GoldenTokens | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,730 | +$270 +9.9% | 4 |
| 697d | ziggaBOBl3 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,261 | +$722 +17% | 4 |
| 697d | HenryKissingerr | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,967 | +$552 +11% | 4 |
| 697d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | −$154 −14% | — | |
| 698d | Limantas3 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $9,170 | +$1,595 +17% | 4 |
| 700d | Fortuna93 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,872 | +$280 +15% | 4 |
| 700d | ByIn | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | +$189 +15% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures St. Michael's church in Pokrovsk located on Hrushevskoho Vulytsia by December 31, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET. The church will be considered captured if any part of building is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures the church, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Church Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovsk+Church+Location.png Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png Location on Google maps: https://www.google.com/maps/@48.2794472,37.1801207,592m/data=!3m1!1e3?entry=ttu The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.