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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 691d | longtern | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,884 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d |  ha4albheg | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,308 | −$27 −0.8% | — |
| 691d |  pirateshere2 fills | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,296 | +$15 +0.7% | 4 |
| 692d |  sigh3 fills | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $25,380 | +$1,016 +4.0% | 4 |
| 696d |  71459642 fills | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,194 | +$308 +7.3% | 4 |
| 698d | amused856 fills | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $23,113 | +$2,067 +8.9% | 4 |
| 704d |  rewrewrewr | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,514 | −$142 −5.6% | — |
| 706d | Carpfisher | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,795 | +$241 +4.2% | 4 |
| 712d |  DumplingBMF | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$68 +6.4% | 4 |
| 712d | rewrewrewr | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,496 | +$159 +6.4% | 4 |
| 713d | M8te | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$113 +6.6% | 4 |
| 713d | nedst2 fills | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,642 | +$842 +8.7% | 4 |
| 715d | ha4albheg | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$334 +11% | 4 |
| 723d | sigh | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | −$144 −14% | — |
| 728d | Vladimir007 | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$196 −20% | — |
| 738d | Kolng | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | −$210 −16% | — |
| 738d | Kolng | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$210 +16% | 4 |
| 738d | Ghghgf | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$185 −18% | — |
| 738d | Ghghgf | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$168 +16% | 4 |
| 738d | Aqwxfc | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | −$210 −16% | — |
| 738d | Aqwxfc | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$210 +16% | 4 |
| 738d | Hlopa | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | −$225 −18% | — |
| 738d | Hlopa | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$210 +16% | 4 |
| 749d | Vladimir007 | Will Russia capture Siversk before December? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,072 | +$655 +32% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Siversk railroad station located off of Zaliznychna Vulytsia by November 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/siversk+train+station.jpeg Siversk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/siversk+location.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/WCVn7wGSy1i289Nw8 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.