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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 897d | Will Russia control Chasiv Yar on May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,502 | +$67 +0.9% | 4 |
Russian forces have begun attacking the strategic city of Chasiv Yar, seeking to capture the eastern Ukrainian city by Russia's national Victory Day on May 9, 2024. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia controls the Chasiv Yar railroad station located on Pryvokazlna Vulytsia on May 9, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered under Russian control if any part of the train station is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375). If the area is not shaded red on May 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Chasiv+Yar+Train+Station.png Chasiv Yar Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Chasiv+Yar+Ukraine+Location.png The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered permanently unavailable, information from Liveuamap (https://liveuamap.com/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and Liveuamap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.