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Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Chapter 3, Article 65 of the Constitution of the Russian Federation lists all "subjects" of the Russian Federation. As of the writing of this market, there are 85 federal subjects of the Russian Federation. If at any time between May 17, 2022, and October 1, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive), the Constitution of the Russian Federation lists 86 or more "subjects of the Russian Federation", this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the Russian government and the Constitution of the Russian Federation: http://www.constitution.ru/en/10003000-04.htm; however, other credible sources may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.