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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 966d | professorx | Will Russia invade Alaska before March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,542 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 1003d |  SesameCake | Will Russia invade Alaska before March? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 1004d | 0x46a121E4DF5FdD6CF042A4EDe1E90672583E2736 | Will Russia invade Alaska before March? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,645 | +$56 +1.5% | 20 |
| 1004d |  ANudeEgg | Will Russia invade Alaska before March? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$24 +2.1% | 20 |
drinking6,082 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the US state of Alaska by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Russia, USA, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.