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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  ULYSSES18 | Will Russia invade Finland in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,538 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 330d | Suprchess | Will Russia invade Finland in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 387d | mr-green-tea2 fills | Will Russia invade Finland in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,994 | +$72 +2.4% | 20 |
| 395d |  DEGENKHAN | Will Russia invade Finland in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | −$41 −2.8% | — |
| 502d | NeH | Will Russia invade Finland in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,069 | −$198 −3.3% | — |
| 503d | NeH | Will Russia invade Finland in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,080 | +$188 +3.1% | 20 |
Anjun656 shares
stubbornWizard367 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Finland between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Finland or Russia as of May 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022). The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.