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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 691d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,875 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 692d |  gopfan2 | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,992 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 692d | vuhalfhudzaovolkhawtdfgt2 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,900 | +$452 +5.7% | 4 |
| 693d |  noreasapa2 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,305 | +$84 +1.0% | 4 |
| 694d | Wyrdylak2 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,523 | +$374 +11% | 4 |
| 695d | gopfan217 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $58,567 | +$15,396 +26% | 4 |
| 695d | HanSolo24 | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,415 | +$107 +2.4% | 4 |
| 697d |  GoriIIa | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $22,310 | +$964 +4.3% | 4 |
| 698d | nedsta2 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,490 | +$619 +5.9% | 4 |
| 699d | WW- | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,298 | +$227 +9.9% | 5 |
| 699d | Llalalala5 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $13,972 | +$2,044 +15% | 4 |
| 700d |  DumplingBMF | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | −$180 −15% | — |
| 700d | Emm8002022 | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | −$272 −17% | — |
| 700d | Emm8002022 | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,953 | +$292 +15% | 4 |
| 701d | TarDigrade | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$239 +18% | 4 |
| 702d | Kovsh-603 | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $2,015 | −$2,015 −100% | 7 |
| 703d | tryingtruth | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $3,085 | −$655 −21% | — |
| 703d | nedst3 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $5,554 | −$800 −14% | — |
| 703d |  Mr-Yolos2 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,327 | +$775 +12% | 4 |
| 704d |  sigh | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $6,245 | +$1,025 +16% | 4 |
| 705d | Crock95 | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,339 | +$1,339 +100% | — |
| 706d | xDemolisherx | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,580 | +$1,580 +100% | — |
| 706d | bruj | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | −$359 −27% | — |
| 706d | xDemolisherx | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 8 |
| 706d | bruj | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$221 +15% | 4 |
| 706d | Pravda | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,038 | −$578 −19% | — |
| 706d | Carpfisher2 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $14,384 | +$1,952 +14% | 4 |
| 706d | tryingtruth2 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,086 | +$654 +21% | 4 |
| 707d | Crock95 | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,166 | −$353 −16% | — |
| 707d | nedst2 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $10,087 | +$908 +9.0% | 4 |
| 709d |  SirHarryOakes2 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$551 +11% | 4 |
| 709d | Carpfisher2 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,125 | −$236 −11% | — |
| 711d | bett0r1 | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $8,061 | −$1,505 −19% | — |
| 711d | ziggaBOBl | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$124 +12% | 4 |
| 711d | Azrarn | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$448 +15% | 4 |
| 712d | xDemolisherx | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,933 | −$329 −17% | — |
| 712d | xDemolisherx | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,967 | +$294 +15% | 4 |
| 712d | DiscovertheUnknown | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$267 +18% | 4 |
| 713d | Dude2137 | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,456 | +$913 +20% | 4 |
| 714d | Crock95 | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$480 +24% | 4 |
| 716d | bett0r13 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $5,258 | +$1,922 +37% | 4 |
| 718d | DumplingBMF2 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,076 | +$847 +41% | 4 |
| 729d |  chuanye2 fills | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo39¢ → 100¢ | $2,645 | +$4,055 +153% | 6 |
| 729d |  tsybka | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $2,093 | −$2,093 −100% | 4 |
| 729d | fgthqs | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 4 |
| 729d | ddfhgjl | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | — |
| 729d | ddfhgjl | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$2,500 +100% | 4 |
| 729d | tsybka | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | −$1,156 −100% | — |
| 729d | sadeaf | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$1,680 +92% | 4 |
| 729d | sadeaf | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,680 | +$1,680 +100% | — |
| 729d | fgthqs | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$1,680 +92% | 4 |
| 729d | dgshg | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | +$2,500 +100% | — |
| 729d | dgshg | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 4 |
| 729d | dgshg | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | — |
| 729d | dgshg | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$2,500 +100% | 4 |
| 729d | Fgfdjgf | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | +$2,500 +100% | — |
| 729d | Fgfdjgf | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 4 |
| 729d | Fgfdjgf | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | — |
| 729d | Fgfdjgf | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$2,500 +100% | 4 |
| 729d | hdgdsfes | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | SellYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,620 | +$1,620 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Chasiv Yar railroad station located on Pryvokazlna Vulytsia by November 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Chasiv+Yar+Train+Station.png Chasiv Yar Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Chasiv+Yar+Ukraine+Location.png The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.