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Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sergei Shoigu remains the Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation without interruption from June 8, 2022, through July 31, 2022 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the Russian Federation is dissolved or otherwise ceases to exist before the resolution date of this market, or if the position of the Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation is otherwise eliminated, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the government of the Russian Federation (e.g. http://government.ru/en/department/94/events/, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.