Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shane Gillis performs an impression of Donald Trump during his appearance on Saturday Night Live on March 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A ‘performance’ includes: - A verbal impression in which Gillis mimics Trump's voice, speech patterns, or mannerisms. - A nonverbal impression (such as exaggerated facial expressions or body language) only if it is clearly intended as a Trump impersonation. Simply referencing Trump, mentioning his name, or appearing in a sketch about Trump without attempting an impression will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official footage of Shane Gillis’ SNL appearance, including the live TV broadcast and recordings published on Saturday Night Live’s official platforms. If Gillis' appearance on SNL is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No."
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.