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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 629d | Gamblrx3 | Will Siqi Chen refund >$500,000 in $ZERO losses? | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,319 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | Will Siqi Chen refund >$500,000 in $ZERO losses? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 650d | Will Siqi Chen refund >$500,000 in $ZERO losses? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,113 | −$75 −3.6% | — | |
| 654d | Will Siqi Chen refund >$500,000 in $ZERO losses? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,313 | −$152 −2.9% | — | |
| 656d | Will Siqi Chen refund >$500,000 in $ZERO losses? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,734 | +$56 +2.1% | 2 | |
| 657d | Will Siqi Chen refund >$500,000 in $ZERO losses? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,172 | +$296 +4.1% | 2 | |
| 659d | TonyEsse | Will Siqi Chen refund >$500,000 in $ZERO losses? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,976 | +$224 +7.5% | 2 |
On December 30, Siqi Chen launched the $ZERO token as a test. After reaching $6m in market value, Chen sold ~444 SOL worth of the token, and the value subsequently plummeted. You can read more about it here: https://cryptobriefing.com/zero-token-launch-controversy/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Siqi Chen refunds more than $500,000 of investors' money by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.