Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micron | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Constellation Energy | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eaton | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GE Vernova | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MARA Holdings | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oklo | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Qualcomm | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| TeraWulf | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vertiv | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vistra Energy | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness LP's next filed 13F-HR filing with the SEC reporting holdings as of March 31, 2026 includes a long position in the specified stock that did not appear in the immediately preceding 13F-HR filing submitted by Situational Awareness LP. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "new position" refers to a position appearing in the relevant 13F-HR filing that did not appear in the immediately preceding 13F-HR filing submitted by Situational Awareness LP. A position that was not disclosed in the immediately preceding 13F-HR filing for any reason, including confidential treatment, will be considered a new position if it appears in the relevant 13F-HR filing. Long common stock holdings and long call option positions in the specified stock reported in the relevant 13F-HR filing will qualify. Short positions, put option positions, and other bearish positions will not qualify. The relevant filing for this market is the 13F-HR filing reflecting holdings as of March 31, 2026. Amendments (13F-HR/A) filed after the initial 13F-HR submission will not be considered. The standard SEC filing deadline for this report is May 15, 2026. If Situational Awareness LP does not file the relevant 13F-HR with the SEC by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Situational Awareness LP's SEC EDGAR filing page (https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=2045724).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Micron means the market gives it about 100%.