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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 675d |  MMousse | Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,369 | +$123 +3.6% | 20 |
| 692d | Polymarket12345 | Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,403 | −$97 −4.0% | — |
| 694d | erik50 | Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,578 | −$62 −3.9% | — |
| 708d | SkillzThatKillz | Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,375 | −$125 −5.3% | — |
| 710d |  Erasmus. | Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,049 | +$322 +6.4% | 20 |
| 712d |  LastChanceSaloon | Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,866 | +$134 +7.2% | 20 |
| 712d | Polymarket12345 | Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$200 +8.7% | 20 |
| 713d |  50Whence | Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$78 +7.5% | 20 |
| 713d | erik50 | Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$140 +9.3% | 20 |
BabyYoda122,214 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Justice Sonia Sotomayor formally announces her retirement from the U.S. Supreme Court by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Sotomayor will qualify regardless of whether her retirement has gone into effect by this market's end date. The resolution source will be public statements from Sonia Sotomayor, one of her official representatives, and/or the government of the United States.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.