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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 336d |  JoeTrum2 fills | Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,620 | +$15 +0.4% | 4 |
| 336d | zxc368 | Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,316 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 336d |  NeoSay10 | Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | +$12 +0.8% | 4 |
| 337d | elems | Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$18 +1.6% | 4 |
| 338d | 0x138aD4FD2E68C3468FaB74a6O1AD166894952a04 | Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,570 | −$26 −1.6% | — |
| 338d | Xaci | Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,259 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 339d | Xaci | Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,264 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 339d | mimiok | Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,069 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 340d |  Peerless.Gem | Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,023 | −$39 −1.9% | — |
| 343d |  bigshort | Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | +$9 +0.7% | 4 |
| 349d | 0x138aD4FD2E68C3468FaB74a6O1AD166894952a04 | Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$77 +5.3% | 4 |
| 350d | Peerless.Gem | Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$250 +11% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese taikonauts Chen Dong, Chen Zhongrui, and Wang Jie depart the Tiangong space station by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET aboard a vehicle owned in part or whole, or otherwise designed/propelled by SpaceX. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The taikonauts will be considered to have departed if they are if they are on a spacecraft which has undocked from the Taigong space station and begun its return journey to Earth. The resolution source will be official announcements from China and SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.