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Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch and landing of their Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. A successful launch will mean that Starship SN15 successfully takes off from its launchpad in Boca Chica, TX, and sustains flight for longer than 10 seconds. A successful landing will mean that the Starship SN15 lands in the designated landing area and remains upright for at least 1 hour after landing. The successful launch and landing will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds if necessary. If the Starship SN15 completes a successful launch and landing by April 28, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.