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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $775 | 100% | +84 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $770 | 100% | +92 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $740 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $760 | 100% | +68 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $765 | 100% | +79 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $730 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $715 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $735 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $710 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $720 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $725 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $755 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $750 | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $745 | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80d |  CoinTrick | ↑ $775 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,452 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 3 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ $775 means the market gives it about 100%.