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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $755 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $770 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $750 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $775 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $760 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $790 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $785 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $780 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $745 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $765 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $760 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $770 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $765 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $800 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $735 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $765 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $765 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $795 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $740 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $770 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $765 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49d | ↑ $790 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,675 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 52d | Rock.San | ↓ $760 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 53d | ↑ $785 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$84 +5.7% | 4 |
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ $755 means the market gives it about 0%.