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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $645 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $655 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $630 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $600 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $650 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $640 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $635 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $610 | 0% | −35 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $605 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $660 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $620 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $615 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $665 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $625 | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d | ↑ $645 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,098 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit Week of March 30 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ $645 means the market gives it about 100%.