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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $745 | 100% | +72 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $750 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $730 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $725 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $720 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $755 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $705 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $710 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $770 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $765 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $715 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $760 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $740 | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $735 | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154d | cryptothan3 fills | ↑ $745 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $7,746 | +$3,606 +47% | 9 |
| 154d | twerk4hv | ↑ $745 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,865 | +$99 +2.6% | 5 |
| 155d | cryptothan | ↑ $745 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,285 | −$197 −8.6% | — |
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 18 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ $745 means the market gives it about 100%.