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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $785 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $765 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $780 | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $760 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $770 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $780 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $790 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $755 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $775 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $800 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $775 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $795 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $750 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $735 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $775 | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $745 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $805 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $770 | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $810 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $775 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $740 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $780 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $775 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | hermesss123 | ↑ $785 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,913 | +$47 +2.4% | 5 |
| 15d | kodeoed | ↑ $785 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,510 | +$39 +1.5% | 4 |
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 5 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $785 means the market gives it about 0%.