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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 478d | momom | Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $18,061 | −$36 −0.2% | — |
| 478d |  CoffeeLover | Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,364 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 478d | Trump20283 fills | Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,977 | +$78 +1.1% | 4 |
| 481d | ro0k | Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 494d | ro0k | Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,637 | +$22 +1.3% | 4 |
| 504d | denizz | Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,871 | −$32 −1.7% | — |
| 520d | G1224 fills | Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,128 | +$486 +7.9% | 4 |
| 530d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,316 | +$95 +2.9% | 4 |
| 548d | Feman6996 | Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $2,002 | −$2,002 −100% | 9 |
| 561d | keribit | Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | −$132 −8.7% | — |
| 584d | keribit | Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$240 +14% | 4 |
Prior to the disruptions caused by the Houthi attacks in late 2023, the Suez Canal experienced an average daily transit of approximately 72 vessels. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between March 8, and June 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000). If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by July 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.