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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on whether Tadej Pogacar will win the 2021 Tour de France. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Tadej Pogacar finishes in the first position in the general rankings, after the final stage of the Tour de France is completed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be the general rankings on the official Tour de France website (https://www.letour.fr/en/rankings; select the “General Ranking” and “Individual” tabs), corroborated by official announcements of the Tour de France winner. The final (21st) stage of the Tour de France is scheduled to take place on July 18, 2021 (https://www.letour.fr/en/overall-route). If no official winner of the Tour de France has been decided by July 31, 2021, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.