Guinea has scheduled a referendum to adopt a new constitution and begin a return to civilian rule for September 21, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.africanews.com/2025/07/03/guinea-presents-draft-for-new-constitution-referendum-set-for-september/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Guinea, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.