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Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is above 200,000 in the US for any day ranging from May 5, 2022, to August 1, 2022, inclusive, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market is the CDC: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases. To account for potential data revisions and/or incompleteness: the market will be checked daily at 8 PM ET to see if any day within the aforementioned range has a 7-day COVID-19 case average above 200,000. These daily checks will occur from May 5, 2022, to August 8, 2022 (inclusive). If an average above 200,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later. If it is still above 200,000 at that point, the market will be resolved. If it is 200,000 or below, then the market will not resolve based on that data point.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.