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Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is below 10,000 in the US for any day ranging from April 6, 2022 to December 31, 2022 inclusive, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market is the CDC; https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases. To account for potential data revisions and/or incompleteness: the market will be checked daily at 8 PM ET to see if any day within the aforementioned range has a 7-day COVID-19 case average below 10,000. These daily checks will occur from April 7, 2022 to January 7, 2023 (inclusive). If an average below 10,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later. If it is still under 10,000 at that point, the market will be resolved. If it is 10,000 or above, then the market will not resolve based on that data point.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.