Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is below 25,000 in the US for any day ranging from March 29, 2022 to May 1, 2022 inclusive, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market is the CDC; https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases. To account for potential data revisions and/or incompleteness: the market will be checked daily at 8 PM ET to see if any day within the aforementioned range has a 7-day COVID-19 case average below 25,000. If an average below 25,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later. If it is still under 25,000 at that point, the market will be resolved. If it is 25,000 or above, then the market will not resolve based on that data point. The final check will be on May 8, 2022, which is 1 week after end date in the range.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.