Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on whether the United States will report a 7-day average of COVID-19 cases for the date of January 8 2022 that is higher than the 7-day average of COVID-19 cases reported for the date of January 1 2022. This market will resolve on data from the CDC's Data Tracker, specifically, the 7-day moving average of COVID-19 cases for the United States, which is available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases (navigate to "Select a state or territory" and select “United States”, and then scroll to "Data Table for Daily Case Trends" and view the data in the "7-Day Moving Avg" column, which is able to be sorted in descending order). The resolution source will be reviewed at 8 PM ET on January 15 to check the 7-day average for both the dates of January 8 and January 1 2022. If the 7-day average for January 8 exceeds that of January 1 at this check, "Yes" will win. Otherwise, "No" will win. If the resolution source is unavailable at that time, the most recently available data will be used to resolve the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.