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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market to predict whether any contestant will break the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest record of 76 hot dogs. This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more contestants participating in the 2025 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest eat 77 or more hot dogs, according to the official results. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest is canceled or postponed past July 4, 2025, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official results from Major League Eating, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.