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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520d |  elmcap2 | Will the Baglihar Dam be hit in May? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,619 | +$40 +1.1% | 4 |
| 523d |  sigh2 fills | Will the Baglihar Dam be hit in May? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,845 | −$42 −1.5% | — |
| 531d | sigh | Will the Baglihar Dam be hit in May? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,452 | +$278 +8.0% | 4 |
Torpboy200 shares
BabyYoda122 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Baglihar Dam is the subject of a kinetic strike between May 4 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Missile/drone strikes which are shot down or don't hit the bridge will not be considered for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.