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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 344d | BetterFish | Will the Blue Origin New Glenn rocket explode during November 13 launch? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,515 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the New Glenn rocket explodes at any point during the launch from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after liftoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). If the launch has not occurred by November 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by Blue Origin (https://x.com/blueorigin/status/1988795793000501452), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.