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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Chinese spy balloon" reported floating over US territory is destroyed, downed, or otherwise grounded by any means by February 5, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The balloon's destruction, downing, or grounding will trigger a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether it occurs naturally or artificially. If the balloon lands in or is otherwise downed into the ocean, it will trigger a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the governments of the United States of America and/or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.