Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on whether any COVID-19 vaccination will receive regulatory approval, in the form of either FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization, for use by children under 12 years of age before October 15, 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any COVID-19 vaccine for young children receives FDA approval or EUA prior to the resolution date, October 15, 12:00 PM ET, and "No" otherwise. This market will be resolved according to the FDA list of licensed vaccines (https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/vaccines-licensed-use-united-states), the FDA EUA list (https://www.fda.gov/emergency-preparedness-and-response/mcm-legal-regulatory-and-policy-framework/emergency-use-authorization), the FDA recommendations for particular age groups (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/recommendations/specific-groups.html) as well as any other resolution source deemed appropriate by the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the MIC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.