Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1033d |  VibesGreaterRules | Will the Gävle Goat be destroyed in 2023? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | +$218 +18% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Gävle Goat, a traditional Christmas display erected annually in Gävle, Sweden, is set on fire or destroyed before 11:59 PM (ET) on December 31, 2023. The destruction or damage must be confirmed by an official Gävle Goat social media account, the City of Gävle's official website, or a reputable news source. Any burning of the main body of the Gävle Goat will result in this market resolving to "Yes". Any non-fire damage must result in the destruction of the Gävle Goat for this market to resolve to "Yes".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.