Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 13 | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| August 12 | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| August 15 | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for August 13 means the market gives it about 100%.