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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507d |  lmtfalone | Will the Netherlands government fall before Summer Recess? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 507d | iamgone | Will the Netherlands government fall before Summer Recess? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,030 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 507d |  Car | Will the Netherlands government fall before Summer Recess? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,267 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 508d |  KrabTheCrab | Will the Netherlands government fall before Summer Recess? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | −$26 −1.3% | — |
The Dutch parliament's summer recess is scheduled to start on July 4, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the current Dutch cabinet, led by Prime Minister Dick Schoof, officially falls before the start of the Dutch parliamentary summer recess in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The government will be considered to have fallen if it collectively submits its resignation to the King and enters caretaker (demissionary) status, or if it loses a formal vote of confidence in the House of Representatives and is publicly recognized as having fallen. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.