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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 650d |  KimJonEn | Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 651d |  🍝👹 | Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,964 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 651d |  FrancisSP8 | Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,960 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 651d |  ARudeEgg4 fills | Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,397 | +$446 +4.7% | 5 |
| 651d | KimJonEn2 fills | Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday? | BuyNo100¢ | $13,922 | +$70 +0.5% | 4 |
| 652d |  COVID-isTheNew-HUNTER-PARDON2 fills | Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,884 | +$73 +0.6% | 4 |
| 653d |  starbuck022 fills | Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,081 | +$98 +4.7% | 5 |
| 653d |  ANudeEgg2 fills | Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,742 | +$133 +3.6% | 5 |
| 653d | Pel | Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | +$82 +4.8% | 5 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 90% contained or more by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.