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Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA is above 75,000 on March 1, 2022, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source is the CDC; https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases. The source will be first be checked on March 8, 2022, 8 PM ET, and if data is unavailable at that point, every 24 hours subsequently. If data is still unavailable by March 15, 2022, 8 PM ET, another credible source such as NYtimes will be used. The resolution figure can be checked in the cell under the column "7-Day Moving Avg" in the row dated "Mar 1, 2022".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.