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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 479d |  noreasapa | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,323 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 479d |  Funfzig | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,327 | −$16 −0.3% | — |
| 480d | LBZone | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,026 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 480d | Funfzig7 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $20,699 | +$603 +2.9% | 20 |
| 480d | ourdemocracy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,303 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 481d |  Donkov | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,612 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 481d |  Oompa-Loompa | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,992 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 482d |  taut-dogwood | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,480 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 484d | BowlOfPunch | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,699 | +$10 +0.6% | 20 |
| 484d |  SirHarryOakes | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,379 | −$22 −0.6% | — |
| 485d |  Anjun2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,437 | +$81 +0.8% | 20 |
| 486d | 0x253d…33075 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,596 | +$231 +1.2% | 20 |
| 486d |  MisTKy3 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,678 | −$215 −1.3% | — |
| 486d | ourdemocracy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,609 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
| 486d | ourdemocracy2 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | +$22 +1.1% | 20 |
| 486d |  Car4 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,220 | +$126 +1.7% | 20 |
| 486d |  esports095 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,469 | −$267 −3.6% | — |
| 486d |  backflip | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 21 |
| 487d | esports095 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | +$30 +2.4% | 20 |
| 487d | rdba | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,163 | +$67 +3.1% | 20 |
| 487d |  Vasiqwe2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,339 | +$45 +1.9% | 20 |
| 487d | Oompa-Loompa | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$50 +3.1% | 20 |
| 487d | smoltrader | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$30 +3.0% | 20 |
| 487d | MisTKy3 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$32 +2.6% | 20 |
| 487d |  Trumputin | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,403 | −$98 −4.1% | — |
| 488d | Sandra.rachkova | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyYes2¢ → 0¢ | $1,296 | −$1,296 −100% | 22 |
| 488d | NeH | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,558 | −$107 −1.0% | — |
| 489d | burrito3382 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $23,790 | +$245 +1.0% | 20 |
| 490d | NeH | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,549 | +$116 +1.1% | 20 |
| 491d | Gdub2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,697 | +$88 +1.3% | 20 |
| 491d |  scottilicious2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,460 | +$330 +2.6% | 20 |
backflip33,970 shares
BabyYoda121,847 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran between June 18 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of June 18, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.