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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121d |  Slowroasted3 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,380 | +$54 +0.4% | 4 |
| 122d | Lisbon4 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,734 | +$34 +0.4% | 4 |
| 124d | hklcrypt2 fills | June 30, 2026 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,222 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 124d | hklcrypt2 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,227 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 135d | 0xb27b…1bae2 fills | June 30, 2026 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,077 | −$23 −0.5% | — |
| 135d | 0xb27b…1bae2 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,075 | +$26 +0.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x0398…9c032 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$87 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x50eb…ae112 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$87 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x2246…e5382 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$87 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x5c66…7d432 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$87 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x7262…113b | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,507 | +$43 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x08c9…a8072 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$87 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0xd9e0…03332 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$87 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x45c5…45f32 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$87 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0xf226…bf622 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$87 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0xe1c6…c0902 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$87 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x5a7c…69382 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$87 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x13f0…4661 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,507 | +$43 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x97b6…e6b82 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$87 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x42c7…432d2 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$87 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x42c7…432d | June 30, 2026 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,507 | −$43 −1.7% | — |
| 147d | 0x4cce…e4fc2 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$87 +1.7% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x1714…fc2a2 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,024 | +$77 +1.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x6fdf…e8d2 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0xf3a6…2248 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0xc250…78a5 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x5f9d…958c | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x40f0…69ba | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0xa3e1…69b1 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0xa0eb…9a90 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x06bf…c774 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0xfb0e…e50a | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0xedb3…1504 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x3143…1228 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x1857…74cf | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 147d | 0x0448…d656 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 148d | 0xdf2e…017d3 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,949 | +$151 +0.9% | 4 |
| 148d | 0x224c…ed144 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $27,102 | +$304 +1.1% | 4 |
| 148d | 0x6aff…e3bc3 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,520 | +$205 +1.0% | 4 |
| 148d | 0xcae6…bab95 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $38,554 | +$478 +1.2% | 4 |
| 148d | 0xb133…8b7d4 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $31,724 | +$376 +1.2% | 4 |
| 148d | 0x5c16…c2e2 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 148d | 0x8f0e…497a | June 30, 2026 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,162 | −$48 −1.5% | — |
| 148d | 0x8f0e…497a | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,162 | +$48 +1.5% | 4 |
| 148d | 0x223b…d74f | June 30, 2026 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | −$78 −1.5% | — |
| 148d | 0xc4d2…7333 | June 30, 2026 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,152 | −$63 −1.5% | — |
| 148d | 0x223b…d74f | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,122 | +$78 +1.5% | 4 |
| 148d | 0xc4d2…7333 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,152 | +$63 +1.5% | 4 |
| 148d | 0xfbb2…921b | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,024 | +$77 +1.5% | 4 |
| 148d | 0x1d57…8b8b2 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,539 | +$237 +1.5% | 4 |
| 148d | 0x64aa…76c8 | June 30, 2026 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,444 | −$111 −1.3% | — |
| 148d | 0x64aa…76c8 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,444 | +$111 +1.3% | 4 |
| 148d | 0xb362…1a882 fills | June 30, 2026 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,571 | −$137 −1.0% | — |
| 148d | 0xb362…1a882 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,571 | +$137 +1.0% | 4 |
| 148d | 0xe728…3585 | June 30, 2026 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,656 | −$27 −1.0% | — |
| 148d | 0xe728…3585 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,656 | +$27 +1.0% | 4 |
| 148d | 0x36fb…60b53 fills | June 30, 2026 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,321 | −$145 −1.0% | — |
| 148d | 0x36fb…60b53 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,321 | +$145 +1.0% | 4 |
| 148d | 0x9e84…e3de | June 30, 2026 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,599 | −$67 −1.0% | — |
| 148d | 0x9e84…e3de2 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,080 | +$142 +1.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for June 30, 2026 means the market gives it about 0%.