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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 297d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,870 | −$6 −0.3% | — | |
| 319d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,854 | +$21 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 349d | 0xcd7a…aae9 | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$17 +1.7% | 4 |
| 354d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,931 | +$115 +2.3% | 4 | |
| 354d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,552 | −$119 −2.1% | — | |
| 361d | keribit2 fills | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,880 | +$120 +3.1% | 4 |
| 373d | Retired-Davis | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | −$61 −3.1% | — |
| 376d | nijiuzheyangba | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | −$42 −3.7% | — |
| 376d | nijiuzheyangba | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | +$37 +3.3% | 4 |
| 388d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,244 | +$118 +3.7% | 4 | |
| 423d | Gdub2 fills | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,030 | +$136 +4.5% | 4 |
| 437d | colethereum | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | −$51 −5.0% | — |
| 442d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $11,722 | +$1,116 +9.5% | 4 | |
| 448d | Starry-Flanker2 fills | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$246 +4.1% | 4 |
| 455d | Linkdad | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$102 +3.4% | 4 |
| 455d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | −$85 −5.6% | — | |
| 461d | Retired-Davis | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,318 | +$175 +5.3% | 4 |
| 494d | denizz5 fills | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $25,682 | −$2,250 −8.8% | — |
| 499d | Luxovac | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$75 +7.5% | 4 |
| 505d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 4 | |
| 511d | REKTGUY | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,007 | −$493 −9.8% | — |
| 533d | REKTGUY | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,060 | +$440 +8.7% | 4 |
| 534d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,718 | −$1,718 −100% | 8 | |
| 541d | denizz | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $23,669 | +$1,573 +6.6% | 4 |
| 572d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,626 | −$736 −11% | — | |
| 616d | FatBoyRay19802 fills | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,705 | −$356 −13% | — |
| 618d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $16,623 | +$3,207 +19% | 4 | |
| 619d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | −$289 −26% | — | |
| 624d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$138 +12% | 4 | |
| 625d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $6,381 | +$981 +15% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government assumes administrative, military, or political control over the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. This includes direct governance, military occupation with administrative authority, or any formal arrangement where the U.S. exercises primary governing authority over Gaza territory. Mere military presence including the establishment of bases, advisory roles, humanitarian missions, or support for other governing entities without the U.S. holding primary control will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.