Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
The market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States reports a 600,000 or more 7-day COVID-19 case average on or after the date of this market’s inception, January 1 2022, and on or before January 8 2022. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve on data from the CDC's Data Tracker, specifically, the 7-day moving average of COVID-19 cases for the United States, which is available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases (navigate to "Select a state or territory" and select “United States”, and then scroll to "Data Table for Daily Case Trends" and view the data in the "7-Day Moving Avg" column, which is able to be sorted in descending order). The resolution source will be reviewed once daily at 8 PM ET, to see if the criteria for “Yes” are met. The final check will be on January 15 2022, 8 PM ET, checking the 7-day average on all days from the creation of this market to January 8 2022 (inclusive). If the website is down or data is unavailable during the final check, the market will resolve based on the most recent previous check that had data available.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.