Polymarket · OtherClosed

Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by...?

Most traded: By February 15th?<1%
24h volume: $0
Total volume: $13.7K
Outcomes: 4
Ends: —

Odds over time

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Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid · Ask	24h volume	Ends
By February 15th?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
By March 15th?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
By April 19th?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
By May 17th?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended

Whale trades

$1,000 and up · latest

No trades of $1,000 or more lately.

Biggest holders: By February 15th? · Yes

0x5348…46761,537,910 shares
jqsir16 shares

Biggest holders: By February 15th? · No

Neglected-Squid204 shares
Creepy-Feast1 shares

How this market settles

This is a market group on if and when there will be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US.

Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for By February 15th? means the market gives it about <1%.

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