Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on whether there will be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 (Richter scale) or higher in the Conterminous U.S. between the market conception time, November 29th, 2021, 12:00 PM ET and December 31st, 2021 (11:59 PM ET), as measured by the U.S. Geological Survey. This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the list of recorded seismic activity at the resolution source (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/) for that period will include at least one earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher with its epicentre in the Conterminous U.S. and “No” otherwise. ------------------------------ The term 'Conterminous U.S.' used in this market refers to 48 lower states of The United States, excluding the maritime territory.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.